I analyzed how each account’s first outbound call disposition relates to the deal’s final stage by fuzzy-matching Salesforce opportunity names to HubSpot deal names. The only disposition with sufficient matches was “Connected,” which yielded:

• Total deals with first call “Connected”: 5
• Deals won (Closed Won): 2
• Win rate: 40.0%

This suggests that, for the subset of deals we could link, a “Connected” first outreach call corresponds to a 40% close rate. Other dispositions did not return matched outcomes under the current name-matching logic.